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US inflation rises to 2.9%

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Key Takeaways

  • US inflation rose to 2.9% in August 2025, its highest point since January 2025.
  • The rate surpasses the Federal Reserve’s target and could influence interest rate decisions.

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US inflation climbed to 2.9% in August 2025, reaching its highest level since January of the same year, according to Consumer Price Index data released today.

The increase follows two months of steady 2.9% readings in June and July 2025, matching economists’ expectations of accelerating price growth.

The current rate exceeds the Federal Reserve’s 2% long-term inflation target, highlighting ongoing challenges in price stabilization after inflation peaked above 9% in 2022.

While US inflation maintained an average of 2.5% annually from 2010 to 2020, the early 2020s saw a surge driven by supply chain disruptions and stimulus spending. The latest reading mirrors levels observed in early 2025, suggesting persistent inflationary pressures.

The S&P 500 has historically dropped between 1% and 2% on days when inflation data exceeds expectations, as markets price in potential monetary policy tightening.

The elevated inflation rate indicates faster price increases for consumer goods and services compared to recent months, potentially affecting household spending and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions.

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Broadcom leads chip sector rally on strong Wednesday performance

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Key Takeaways

  • Broadcom outperformed its semiconductor peers in Wednesday’s trading session.
  • The chip sector saw strong gains, with Broadcom leading the advance.

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Broadcom led a rally in semiconductor stocks today as the chip sector posted strong gains during Wednesday trading.

The stock’s performance helped drive broader momentum across chip companies, with the sector showing notable strength in the session. Broadcom’s shares paced the advance among semiconductor names as investors responded positively to the company’s movement.

The chip sector’s rally came as technology stocks found support, with Broadcom emerging as a standout performer among its peers in the semiconductor space.

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US PPI for August falls 0.1%, below estimate of 0.3%

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Key Takeaways

  • US Producer Price Index (PPI) declined by 0.1% in August, contrary to estimates of a 0.3% increase.
  • This decrease follows a substantial 0.9% gain in July, indicating a possible easing of inflation at the wholesale level.

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US producer prices fell 0.1% in August compared to the previous month, missing economists’ expectations of a 0.3% increase and marking a sharp reversal from July’s 0.9% gain.

The Producer Price Index decline suggests inflationary pressures at the wholesale level may be easing, providing potential relief for businesses and consumers downstream. The August reading represents the first monthly decrease in producer prices since earlier this year.

The weaker-than-expected data could influence Federal Reserve policy decisions as officials continue to monitor inflation trends across the economy.

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Glassnode reports Bitcoin short-term correlation with gold turns negative

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Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin’s short-term (30-day) correlation with gold is now negative at -0.53, according to Glassnode.
  • This is a significant change from the long-term (365-day) correlation, which is still modestly positive at 0.65.

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Bitcoin’s short-term correlation with gold has turned negative, reaching -0.53 over a 30-day period, according to data from blockchain analytics firm Glassnode.

The shift marks a departure from Bitcoin’s longer-term relationship with the precious metal, which remains modestly positive at 0.65 over a 365-day timeframe.

The negative correlation indicates that Bitcoin and gold have been moving in opposite directions in recent weeks, contrasting with their historically similar price movements during periods of market uncertainty.

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Solana CME futures open interest hits new high of $1.5B after launch of first US Solana staking ETF

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Key Takeaways

  • Solana CME futures open interest reached a new record of $1.5 billion.
  • This surge began after the launch of the first US Solana staking ETF.

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Solana CME futures open interest reached a new all-time high of $1.5 billion today, extending record demand that began building after the launch of the first US Solana staking ETF.

The milestone represents continued growth from August, when open interest first crossed the $1.0 billion threshold. The surge in institutional interest follows the introduction of the staking exchange-traded fund, which marked a significant development for Solana-based investment products in the US market.

Open interest measures the total number of outstanding derivative contracts that have not been settled, serving as an indicator of market activity and institutional participation in Solana futures trading.

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Grayscale files S-3 for Litecoin ETF

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Key Takeaways

  • Grayscale has filed an S-3 registration statement with regulators for a Litecoin ETF.
  • The ETF would track the digital asset Litecoin, one of the older cryptocurrencies.

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Grayscale Investments filed an S-3 registration statement with securities regulators for a Litecoin exchange-traded fund.

The filing represents Grayscale’s effort to launch an ETF tracking the digital asset Litecoin, which ranks among the older crypto assets in the market. An S-3 form allows companies to register securities for public offering using a simplified process.

The move follows Grayscale’s pattern of pursuing ETF conversions and launches for various crypto assets beyond Bitcoin. The company has previously filed similar registration statements for other digital asset ETFs as part of its broader strategy to offer regulated investment products.

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JPMorgan expects September Fed rate cut despite CPI risks and warns of S&P 500 volatility

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Key Takeaways

  • JPMorgan expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, despite CPI inflation risks.
  • August CPI is projected at 2.9% year-over-year, with core CPI at 3.1%.

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JPMorgan expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September despite lingering uncertainty around consumer price index data.

The bank projects August CPI at 2.9% year-over-year, with core CPI holding steady at 3.1% year-over-year. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could push rate cuts to October or December.

JPMorgan outlined potential market reactions to different CPI scenarios. Core CPI above 0.40% could cause the S&P 500 to drop 1.5% to 2.0%. A reading between 0.35% and 0.40% may trigger losses of 0.5% to 1.0%. Core CPI below 0.25% could lift the index 1.3% to 1.8%.

The bank maintains a tactically bullish stance while flagging risks from inflation, employment data, and trade developments.

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