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Santiment reports over 403,000 Bitcoin moved off exchanges in the past year

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Key Takeaways

  • Over 403,000 Bitcoin moved off exchanges between December 2024 and December 2025, reducing the proportion held on exchanges by 2%.
  • Declining Bitcoin exchange reserves may lower short-term selling pressure and could contribute to future price rallies.

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Over 403,000 Bitcoin were withdrawn from crypto exchanges between December 7, 2024, and December 7, 2025, according to new data from Santiment.

The withdrawals have led to a 2% decrease in circulating Bitcoin supply on exchanges, which suggests investors are holding for the long term and is generally a positive sign for Bitcoin’s price.

Fewer coins on exchanges typically reduce the risk of a sudden large sell-off, which can push prices down. Historically, when more BTC is held off exchanges, it’s a positive signal for long-term price stability.

Bitcoin is bracing for more volatility ahead of the Fed meeting, trading near $91,000 as of now, according to CoinGecko.

As 2025 comes to an end, a number of analysts have revised their Bitcoin forecasts. Standard Chartered now expects the digital asset to finish the year around $100,000, down from its previous $200,000 projection.

Galaxy Digital has also lowered its 2025 year-end outlook to $120,000, down from a prior forecast of $185,000.


Spot silver reaches record high of $60 as traders anticipate Fed rate cut

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Key Takeaways

  • Spot silver reached a record high of $60 amid expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
  • Market optimism is growing for a shift in US monetary policy at the upcoming Fed meeting.

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Spot silver climbed to a record high of $60 as traders positioned for an anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut that could boost demand for precious metals.

The rally reflects growing market optimism that the Fed will ease monetary policy at its upcoming meeting, with traders increasing their bets on silver and other precious metals assets.

Lower interest rates typically make non-yielding assets like precious metals more attractive to investors seeking alternatives to bonds and savings accounts.


Silver edges higher ahead of Fed rate decision

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Key Takeaways

  • Spot silver reached a new high above $61, driven by tight supply and strong demand.
  • Expectations of a Fed rate cut are supporting silver’s ongoing rally.

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Spot silver touched a fresh high above $61 during Asian trading today, keeping its rally intact after a clean breach of the $60 handle ahead of the Fed’s interest rate announcement.

The precious metal has more than doubled this year, driven by a mix of stubbornly high inflation, supply constraints, and growing investor demand for electronics, solar panels, and ETFs.

Mining supply has declined over the past decade while demand continues to grow, creating a structurally tight market.

Hopes that the Fed will slash rates also help push silver to fresh highs.

Markets are pricing in an 87.6% likelihood of a Fed rate cut on Wednesday, according to CME FedWatch. This leaves only a little more than a 12% chance that rates will stay unchanged.

A Fed rate cut could support silver prices, especially when combined with already tight supply and strong industrial and investment demand.

Silver now outperforms gold and stocks, though gold already enjoyed its own spotlight earlier this year, especially from August through late October, as investors reacted to tariff-related economic risks. Year-to-date, gold has risen roughly 60%.


Polymarket users forecast 97% probability of 25 bps rate cut

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Key Takeaways

  • Polymarket users predict a 97% probability of a 25 bps Federal Reserve rate cut.
  • There is near-unanimous consensus on Polymarket for a quarter-point cut before the FOMC decision.

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Polymarket users are forecasting a 97% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points today. The decision will come in under three hours.

The prediction market platform shows near-consensus expectations among users for the quarter-point rate reduction.

CME FedWatch data now indicate around a 90% probability of a rate reduction, leaving only just over 10% chance that the Federal Reserve will maintain current rates.


Kalshi traders predict 53% chance of Elon Musk becoming trillionaire by 2029

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Key Takeaways

  • Kalshi traders estimate a 53% chance of Elon Musk becoming a trillionaire by 2029.
  • Market sentiment reflects optimism about Musk’s net worth surpassing $1 trillion within four years.

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Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi are giving Elon Musk a 53% chance of becoming a trillionaire before 2029.

The odds reflect market participants’ views on whether the Tesla and SpaceX CEO will reach the $1 trillion net worth milestone within the next four years.

Even so, that probability has eased in recent trading, slipping 3% from earlier levels.

The chance of Musk hitting trillionaire status before 2028 fell to 48%. Expectations for the longer-term before 2030 threshold dropped even more sharply, falling to 52%.

Speculation around the company’s public-market debut has intensified as Musk recently endorsed an article by Ars Technica’s Eric Berger, which outlined why 2026 could be the right moment for SpaceX to list.

Multiple outlets have reported that SpaceX is exploring a 2026 IPO while conducting a share sale valuing the company at roughly $800 billion.


Bitcoin whale opens $491 million Ether long position

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Key Takeaways

  • A Bitcoin whale initiated a $491 million long position in Ether.
  • Market speculation suggests this move may reflect insider knowledge or strong bullish expectations for Ethereum.

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A Bitcoin whale identified as Bitcoin OG 1011short opened a $491 million long position in Ether today, according to data tracked by Lookonchain.

The size of the position has sparked speculation in crypto markets about potential insider knowledge or market expectations driving the bullish bet on Ethereum’s native token.

The trader also took long positions in Bitcoin and Solana. The whale’s total long position now exceeds $614 million, and according to the latest update, he transferred 5,152 BTC worth approximately $477 million to a new wallet.

Over the past 24 hours, Ethereum’s price remained mostly flat, while Solana jumped nearly 6% and Bitcoin rose 2%, according to CoinGecko.




Broadcom shares drop premarket despite Q4 earnings beat

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Key Takeaways

  • Broadcom exceeded Q4 earnings expectations with record revenue and strong AI-related sales.
  • Despite the earnings beat and positive AI momentum, Broadcom shares declined in premarket trading.

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Shares of Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) slid in premarket trading on Friday despite the company posting strong quarterly financial results. The stock fell about 5% following a mild dip at market close on Thursday, according to Yahoo Finance.

The tech giant reported record Q4 fiscal 2025 revenue of over $18 billion, led by AI-driven semiconductor growth and a 26% rise in infrastructure software revenue.

Broadcom projects Q1 2026 revenue of $19.1 billion, with AI revenue expected to double year-over-year to $8.2 billion, supported by a $73 billion backlog.

The stock declined after management chose not to update its prior guidance of 40%-60% AI revenue growth for fiscal year 2026. Analysts noted that the decision disappointed stakeholders, despite signs of accelerating AI-driven revenue growth.